Game Theoretic Solutions to Tennis Serving Strategies

Authors

  • Tristan Barnett
  • Machar Reid
  • Darren O’Shaughnessy
  • Darren McMurtrie

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52383/itfcoaching.v20i56.404

Keywords:

Analysis, Risk, Serve and return

Abstract

This paper analyzes risk-taking on serve to maximize a player’s chances of winning a point on the second serve by either serving a common low risk second serve (with a high second serve percentage) or a high risk second serve by decreasing the second serve percentage but increasing the proportion of points won if the second serve goes in. The notion of “importance” of points is defined and there is evidence to suggest that servers could be encouraged to take more risk on the more “important” points. The results could be used by coaches to help determine how much risk their players should take on the second serve. A working example between Andy Roddick and Rafael Nadal is given to support the results.

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References

Barnett T, Meyer D and Pollard G (2008). Applying match statistics to increase serving performance. J Med Science Tennis, 13(2):24-27.

Bedford A, Barnett T, Pollard GH and Pollard GN (2010). How the interpretation of match statistics affects player performance. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 15(2), 23-27.

Klaassen and Magnus (2001). Are points in tennis independent and identically distributed? Evidence from a dynamic binary panel data model, Journal of the American Statistical Association 96, 500–509. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214501753168217 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1198/016214501753168217

Morris C (1977). The most important points in tennis, In Optimal Strategies in Sports, S.P. Ladany and R.E. Machol eds., Amsterdam: North– Holland, 131–140.

Pollard GN and Pollard GH (2007). Optimal risk taking on first and second serves. In Proceedings of Tennis Science & Technology 3, S. Miller and J. Capel-Davies eds., London: International Tennis Federation, 273-280.

Pollard GN (2008). What is the best serving strategy? J Med Sci Tennis 13(2): 34-38.

Pollard GN, Pollard GH, Barnett T and Zeleznikow J (2009). Applying tennis match statistics to increase serving performance during a match in progress. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 14(3), 16-19.

Published

2012-04-30

How to Cite

Barnett, T., Reid , M., O’Shaughnessy, D., & McMurtrie, D. (2012). Game Theoretic Solutions to Tennis Serving Strategies. ITF Coaching & Sport Science Review, 20(56), 22–25. https://doi.org/10.52383/itfcoaching.v20i56.404

Issue

Section

Articles